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Coal production capacity indicators decreased compared to last year
The "Opinions" proposed that the proportion of coal consumption this year will drop to about 60%, continue to defuse excess coal production capacity, and withdraw from the production capacity by 50 million tons. In this regard, the coal industry believes that the scale of capacity reduction is not as expected or hidden.
Last year, the elimination of outdated production capacity in the coal industry achieved remarkable results, with cumulative elimination of nearly 300 million tons of outdated production capacity. The "opinions" proposed that this year will continue to accelerate the elimination of backward production capacity and steadily develop advanced production capacity, but the scale of 50 million tons is lower than market expectations.
Zhang Likuan, a commentator of the China Coal Trading Data Center, said in an interview with the Shanghai Daily that although the targeted production capacity for phase-out was only 50 million tons, it involved more than 500 coal mines, which is a “difficult boneâ€. According to recent accident reports, a small coal mine that produces less than 100,000 tons per year may cause major casualties. Therefore, the target of 50 million tons of capacity reduction proposed by the Energy Bureau this year is not to reduce capacity in order to remove the absolute amount of production capacity. Instead, it is determined from the perspective of the scientific, health, and safety development of the coal industry. Its purpose is to increase industrial concentration. In order to increase the scale of single wells and improve staff performance, it is more conducive to the long-term development and scientific development of the coal industry. In addition, last year, the coal industry over-achieved the task of eliminating 250 million tons of obsolete production capacity, which was the result of many years of lagging production capacity. It is also relatively easy to complete the task of removing production capacity.
In a recent interview with the media, He Yongjian, deputy director of the Planning Division of the National Energy Administration, said: “The surplus of coal production capacity is certain, and the annual capacity reduction target will not maintain a high level every year.â€
Many references to the development of nuclear power
While requesting the coal and coal power industry to dissolve excess production capacity, the "Opinions" indicated that it is necessary to promote the development of non-fossil fuels in scale, and mentioned the development of nuclear power in many areas.
The "opinions" proposes to actively promote the construction of nuclear power projects with conditions, and organize and approve the start of construction according to procedures. Orderly initiation of approval and preparation for the construction of follow-up coastal nuclear power projects, and promotion of nuclear power plant site protection and demonstration work.
Regarding major energy projects, the “Opinions†clarified that it actively promoted the construction of nuclear power projects that have been started. During the year, it plans to build three units of No. 1 unit, Fuqing No. 4 unit, Yangjiang No. 4 unit, Haiyang No. 1 unit, and Taishan No. 1 unit. The new installed capacity was 6.41 million kilowatts. We will actively promote the approval of qualified projects, and plan to start 8 units during the year. At the same time, the three units of No. 3 and No. 4 units, No. 5 and No. 6 units of Ningde, No. 1 and No. 2 units of Quzhou, Huizhou No. 1 and No. 2 units and other projects will be solidly promoted. The project scale is 9,860 MW.
According to the “13th Five-Year Plan for Electric Power Developmentâ€, by 2020, the installed nuclear power capacity will reach 58 million kilowatts, and nuclear power generating units under construction will be more than 30 million kilowatts. As of the end of 2016, China's installed nuclear power capacity reached 33.64 million kilowatts, and about 21.39 million kilowatts of generators were under construction.
The research report of the CICC Power New Energy Industry predicts that in the next four years, China’s nuclear power generation will still need to be approved to start construction of a nuclear power plant of about 33 million kilowatts, and an average of more than 8 million kilowatts will be required to start construction every year. Therefore, nuclear power will be approved for construction in the next three years. At the peak of the period, nuclear power equipment companies will benefit.
In addition, the "Opinions" also mention actively pushing nuclear power out. We will promote the construction of the Karachi project in Pakistan, advance the review of the UK General Design of “Hualong Iâ€, strengthen nuclear power technical cooperation with countries such as Russia and the United States, and steadily advance the nuclear power project cooperation between Argentina, Turkey, and Romania. This is also considered to be a good supplier of nuclear power equipment.
Another nuclear power industry observer believes that, judging from previous information, it is estimated that the 8 units planned to be started are expected to be the National Power Units Haiyang No. 3 and No. 4 units and the CAP1400 demonstration project, the China Guangdong Nuclear Power Lufeng No. 1 and No. 2 units, and the China Nuclear Power Xudabao 1 Unit 2 Taking into account the specific unit start time interval, 8 units all difficult to start within the year. However, the information passed by the "Opinions" is still encouraging the nuclear power sector.
In the “Guidelines for Energy Work 2017†(hereinafter referred to as “Opinionsâ€) issued by the National Energy Administration recently, two expected targets have attracted the attention of the market: First, about 50 million tons of coal has been used to produce capacity, and the other is the development of nuclear power.